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Is Afghanistan Changed a Superpower?

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The parallels, by now, are well known: A global superpower sends troops to Afghanistan, installs a new leader, and plans to depart within months. Instead, it becomes locked in a years-long struggle against a highly motivated insurgency, and the conflict ends only as a consequence of the ignominious withdrawal of its armed forces.

Today,Ā the narrative applies to the United States, but decades prior, this was the story of the Soviet Union. The comparisonā€”like references to the Great Game and to Afghanistan as the graveyard of empiresā€”is ubiquitous in coverage of the American intervention. The lesson, if one exists, is that great powers have sought time and again to change Afghanistan to their liking,Ā and failed.

Yet comparatively little attention is devoted in the opposite direction: to how invading Afghanistan changed these countries back home. In the Soviet case, it led the citizens of a superpower to reassess both the ends and the means of empire.

When Soviet troopsĀ arrived in AfghanistanĀ in December 1979, the plan was to insert new leadership, strengthen key bases, and leave. By the time the Soviets finally withdrew in February 1989, more than 13,000 of their soldiers had been killed in battle (and 40,000 more wounded), while anywhere from 800,000 to 1.2 million Afghans were dead.

The Soviet war, much like the American one, was a protracted affair fought by a limited number of troops that was out of sight and out of mind for the majority of its citizens. Similar to that in the U.S., domestic media coverage was limited (though in the Soviet case, this was due to press censorship rather than a lack of media interest or resources), and bodies were returned to relatives under cover of nightā€”as they were for a period during the Bush administration.

Of course, the differences are significant. Opposition within the Soviet Union was harshly curtailed, initially appearing only in dissident publications. The nuclear physicist Andrei Sakharov, the father of the Soviet hydrogen bomb, was sent into internal exile after he wrote an open letter calling for an end to the invasion and an international boycott of the 1980 Olympics in Moscow. As soldiers returned home, however, the extent of the conflict grew difficult to conceal. In Tashkent, the capital of the republic of Uzbekistan and the hub for departing and returning troops, the Belarusian writer Svetlana Alexievich observed how ā€œyoung soldiers, no more than boys, hop about on crutches.ā€ The Central Committee of the Communist Party received letters from veterans, their relatives, and members of the public about soldiersā€™ difficulty adjusting to life back home and the apparent futility of their mission.

The war had a major impact within the party, as its leaders sought to balance a desire to remain a global power with an unwillingness to bear the costs of foreign intervention. As the historian Artemy M. Kalinovsky writes inĀ A Long Goodbye: The Soviet Withdrawal From Afghanistan, talk of leaving was overshadowed by confidence in the Soviet Unionā€™s ability to stabilize the country, fear of undermining its status as the leading patron of the global South, and anxiety about losing face before the United States. At the same time, the situation in Afghanistan contributed to a growing reluctance among the Soviet leadership to use force elsewhere. When the question arose of whether to deploy troops to Poland to put down the Solidarity movement in 1980, the KGB head Yuri Andropov said, ā€œThe quota of interventions abroad has been exhausted.ā€

Mikhail Gorbachev came into office in 1985 determined to end the war, calling it a ā€œbleeding woundā€ the following year. Although previous rulers had sought to present the invasion as a noble humanitarian mission, Gorbachevā€™s relaxation of censorship allowed the press to reveal the conflictā€™s sordid sides, and freed a variety of people to voice long-suppressed anger over its consequences. Popular ambivalence turned to revulsion as the public learned about war crimes, drug abuse, and neglect of returning veterans. In the embitteredĀ anthemĀ ā€œSoldiers Arenā€™t Born,ā€ the punk-rock band Civil Defense mourned ordinary peopleā€™s sacrifices for hollow ideals (ā€œThe coffin was wrapped in a red rag, the heroic march drowned out by angry griefā€). Veterans, meanwhile, were outraged by criticism that they saw as unjust denigration of their service. ā€œWeā€™re Leaving,ā€ a song by a KGB special-forces officer that Soviet troops played on repeat during their withdrawal, told ā€œchair-bound critics who stayed at homeā€ not to judge what they couldnā€™t understand.

This public discussion of the war became part of the Soviet Unionā€™s broader reassessment of its own identity. Images of ailing soldiers coming back from Afghanistanā€”along with coverage of Stalinist crimes, official corruption, and inadequate health careā€”fed the rising sense that Soviet society was ā€œsickā€ and required radical therapy. Withdrawal, to some citizens, offered a chance to reevaluate the countryā€™s history of foreign interventions and create a more democratic state that took care of its people: Sakharov, now freed from exile, framed ending the war as the precondition for other reforms, including arms reduction, freedom of speech, and the end of one-party rule. For others, the splintering of Soviet society into factions over whether Gorbachevā€™s changes had gone too far (or not far enough) and the countryā€™s deteriorating self-image were disorienting and undesirable. When Alexievich publishedĀ Zinky Boys, an account of the warā€™s brutal absurdity based on conversations with veterans, she received furious phone calls and letters. ā€œWho needs your dreadful truth?ā€ one reader complained. ā€œI donā€™t want to know it!ā€

Until the very end, the Soviet leadership argued about whether to maintain troops in Afghanistan. The foreign minister Eduard Shevardnadze insisted that the U.S.S.R. had a continued responsibility to protect the Afghan government: ā€œWe are leaving the country in a pitiable state. The cities and villages are ravaged. The economy is paralyzed. Hundreds of thousands of people have died.ā€ But public opinion and the political calculus had turned too far against remaining. After the final withdrawal, the Congress of Peopleā€™s Deputies (the Soviet Unionā€™s highest body of authority from 1989 to 1991) launched an investigation into the warā€™s causes and results. In October 1989, it condemned the invasion on ā€œmoral and politicalā€ grounds. A doctrine drafted under Gorbachev defined war as ā€œtotally outdated, unacceptable and inadmissible as a means of achieving political objectives.ā€

These societal shifts were significant, but short-lived. Pacifist sentiments competed for attention with other problems, including the nuclear fallout from Chernobyl, food shortages, and interethnic violence in the republics. Elite regiments that had served in Afghanistan were dispatched to put down pro-independence demonstrations in Baku, Tbilisi, Riga, and Vilnius, killing hundreds of protesters. Amid the chaos of the late ā€™80s, efforts to reinvent the Soviet Union failed, and the country imploded.

The warā€™s impact was far from over, though. In post-Soviet Russia, some veterans of Afghanistan becameĀ involvedĀ in private security and organized crime, which had close ties to business and politics. After seeing themselves as victims of official neglect in the ā€˜90s, under Vladimir Putin, veterans assumed newĀ rolesĀ as allies of the state and its growing militaristic-patriotic ideology. In 1999, the leadership of the Russian Alliance of Veterans of Afghanistan helped found the organization that became United Russia, Putinā€™s party. Some individuals who had served in Afghanistan and Chechnya joined OMON, a special-forces division that serves as riot police at protests. Afghanistan veterans (described in the Russian media as ā€œheroes with baseball batsā€) played a keyĀ roleĀ in Russiaā€™s annexation of Crimea in 2014.

Today, as Putin attempts to reassert Russiaā€™s role on the global stage, nationalists have tried to reframe the war, once widely reviled, as a just cause. In 2019, the director Pavel Lungin releasedĀ Brotherhood, his film about the warā€™s final months and the Soviet withdrawal. Though sympathetic to Soviet troopsā€”its moral touchstone is a sensitive KGB officerā€”BrotherhoodĀ also shows them killing civilians, making corrupt deals, and drinking despairingly as they prepare to return home to a country that will soon cease to exist. After audience members at an advance screening condemned it as unpatriotic, the film was shown only in limited release. As public memory of the war has aligned with state goals, the conflictā€™s approval rating has risen: In a 1991 poll, 88 percent of respondents said the invasion of Afghanistan was unnecessary; in 2019, this numberĀ fellĀ to 55 percent. (Revisionism has its limits: A 2018Ā initiativeĀ by the Russian Communist Party to overturn the Soviet governmentā€™s condemnation of the war was quietly dropped.)

Russian media have viewed the American withdrawal with a mixture of Schadenfreude, commiseration, and concern over its possible destabilizing effect in the region. In the U.S., the notion that the Soviet mission in Afghanistan caused the U.S.S.R. to fall apart (voicedĀ in 2019 by Donald Trump) has fed anxieties about the end of Americaā€™s own empire.

Yet the war was a symptom of Soviet decline, not its cause. Questioning the assumptions that drove the invasion opened up the prospect, however fleeting, of a different future.






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